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Admin
good lord, are people really this bad at math? 272.14 * .15 = $40.82 // = 15% savings 272.14 - 40.82 = 231.32 // new subtotal 231.32 * .0825 = 19.08 // 8.25% tax 231.32 + 19.08 = 250.40 // Tadaaa the same total sears came up with
174.15 * .1 = 17.42 // 10% savings 174.15 - 17.42 = 156.73 // new subtotal 156.73 * .0825 = 12.93 // 8.25% tax 156.73 + 12.93 = 169.96 // tadaa the same total sears came up with
at least you got the math right for the first plan.
Admin
Admin
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See my last post where I figured that out. I, like everyone else, was trying to get some sort of math to work when comparing the different plans to each other. Once you figure out that it doesn't work that way (completely non-obvious from the text of the ad), then yeah, it makes sense.
Admin
well, I have said it twice but for the slow and lazy I will say it a third time. Buying a one year plan 3 years in a row is not going to simply cost three times the current year cost. The washer will be a year older when you go to buy the second year, meaning it will be more likely to break during that year, so the price will go up. It will go up even more for the third year.
Plus, there's this little-known economic theory called "inflation". It's really complicated, but I'll try to explain it for you in terms you can understand. Things tend to go up in price over time. So if you figure 3% inflation plus the factors I mentioned in the last paragraph, you will probably end up paying more than $273 if you buy a 1 year plan three years in a row.
Admin
If you're unfamiliar with the concept that numbers in advertisements are obfuscated by design, then you're sort of a WTF, yourself.
Admin
At this point, I'm not sure where you fall on this being a math WTF or an advertising WTF.
I believe the flaw in your logic is that you will not be able to buy a 1-year plan next year and still pay the same rate (even adjusted for inflation).
They're saying they have 3 prices for three contracts of different lengths. They'll discount the 2-year price a certain percentage, and they'll discount the 3-year price by a slightly larger percentage.
If I'm merely restating what you've said, I apologize.
Admin
Upon re-reading, it might have been a flaw in the logic you're pointing out, not yours.
My head hurts. I have to go lie down.
Admin
Warren Brown CAN'T ADD
Admin
If you want really good place names, try Newfoundland, Canada, which has towns named "Dildo" and "Joe Batt's Arm".
Admin
I once drove through a town named "Amusing and Slightly Suggestive Name That We Can Put on Postcards and Tchotchkes".
True story.
Admin
I fall on the side of this being not a WTF at all. Other than a "W(hy)TF was this posted?"
Admin
Swamp Donkeys? Oh god I peed my pants when I read that. Exactly how would a swamp donkey prowl?
Admin
As far the sears ad, a 4 year plan would probably buy you a new dishwasher anyway, so would you really want to pay almost as much for another dishwasher to maintain the one you are buying now ?
Admin
For anyone struggling with the insurance issue, here's an exercise to make it clear.
Call up a life insurance agent ( or get an online quote ). Ask to compare the monthly price on $100,000 of life insurance with a 10 year term for a 30 year old, 40 year old, and a 50 year old. Then ask for the price on a 30 year policy for a 30 year old.
It will cost much more than triple the 10 year rate for a 30 year old, but less than the sum of the 10 year policies.
Admin
Valid point, though I would guess the failure curve is a little different for people than for dishwashers. In my experience, with durable goods, you have a high failure rate in the first year or so, then a substantial drop, and then a steady increase as it ages. YMMV, and IANA actuary.
The Real WTF in the Sears ad is that they monkey about with "discounts" instead of just showing a reduced base price. I wonder how many people thought "WTF, this is more than 3x as much" who would have otherwise bought the three-year plan.
The second Real WTF is that you know some clown got paid big money to design a crappy and confusing ad that probably ended up reducing profits in the long run.
Admin
The use of the word "value" is misleading, as it implies a $/yr saving against the one year plan which doesn't actually exist in the figures they provide. In fact, I doubt they would sell someone a cover plan if they came back after a year and said "I have a one year old appliance, can I have another year's cover please?" - I've never met a store that would insure an appliance post-sale. The "saving" has nothing to do with the price being less per year, it has to do with their increasing discount on the longer plans. Yes, it makes financial sense that their longer plans are more expensive per year, as the appliance if more likely to fail. Yes, after the discount their longer coverage plans are, minimally, less per year than a one year plan. But the tag line "The longer your coverage the better the value" is misleading, as it is not the value but the discount that increases. Therefore, the tag line is an advertising WTF.
Admin
I blame it on our public education system not teaching actuarial science in high school.
Admin
That barcode is called KIX code, used by Royal TNT Post. If you use it on bulk email, you can get a discount. Information here: http://www.tntpost.nl/zakelijk/klantenservice/documentatiedownloads/downloads/kIX_code/index.aspx
So now we know where you live and your phone number. Don't call us, we call you. >:)
Admin
The bank is obviously located somewhere in northern Canada, possibly Tuktoyaktuk.
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Funny thing is that although "Bart" blurred his letter, he left the barcode for all to see. And that contains the full (Dutch) "postcode" and house-number. Both of them together uniquely identify his home. :)
Admin
Can't reeeeeeead.... If reading is without yooou....
(sorry, but I couldn't withstand this alone anymore)
Admin
That card was really supposed to be for Mr. Reid Kant
Admin
Then you've obviously never bought an appliance from Sears.
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Welcome to two hours ago.
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If you change "save 10%" and "save 15%" into "add 10%" and "add 15%", the values you get are suspiciously close... I guess someone had his maths reversed.
Admin
Do you really want to remove this phone?
Admin
Perhaps you need to stop on the way and spend a little time in Letitz.
Admin
Admin
I think Alex is trolling us re: the Sears thing. Or maybe it was submitted by TopCod3r.
Admin
Given that effect, businesses usually just offer today's rate for prepurchasing future services. Sure it's less than they would charge new customers in the future, but the interest (as well as locking in business now) more than makes up for the difference.
Your point on the washer become more likely to break is valid.
Admin
Uhhh, the Sears one isn't a WTF.
Sure the initial price goes up per year as the plan gets longer but so does the % savings, hence the final price goes down. Granted it's sly to say "save 10%" and have those savings apply to the 2 year price rather than the price of 1 year multiplied by 2, but no one ends up getting scammed.
To compare extend all plans to 6 years.
1 year at a time * 6 years = $87.86 * 6 = $527.16 2 years at a time * 3 sets = $169.99 * 3 = $509.97 3 years at a time * 2 sets = $250.40 * 2 = $500.80
Admin
http://maps.google.com/maps?f=d&saddr=Blue+Ball,+Pennsylvania&daddr=Intercourse,+Pennsylvania&hl=en&geocode=&mra=ls&sll=40.085427,-76.082726&sspn=0.118071,0.137157&ie=UTF8&ll=40.078203,-76.077232&spn=0.118083,0.137157&z=13
Admin
Anybody know where the postal code "8011GL" is?
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TRealerWTF is that the street address is blacked out but not the ZIP+4. Hint: try Mapquest.
Admin
Venestraat in Zwolle, Netherlands.
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... in reply to "Where is 8011GL?"
Admin
"T-Mobile prutsers" Nice filename ;)
Admin
Let's see it then.
Admin
Except in most extended warranty plans, a two-year extension is less than 2*(cost of 1 year). In fact, it's normally 1.5 times the 1 year cost for two years, and that's the starting rate. For 3 years, it may be 2 times the one year cost for the entire package, so you get 1 extra year of protection "for free" when you pay for 2 years of protection.
Sure it's probably more likely to break down in the 2nd year than the first, but extended warranties are normally priced so the longer term is just a bit more than the shorter term, thus causing more people to say "well, you get an extra year for a little more, why not go for 3 years rather than 2, or 2 years rather than 1?".
If 2 years base price is more than double one year, most consumers will take one year or none, since they say "well, two years costs more than double one year, so forget it."
It's all about "Perceived Value" - the value the consumer things they're getting versus the cost. Sears is justifying it with the "discounts" they apply to make the extra years cost less, but cost less in a way that's much bigger than it really is. Those discounts are probably permanent features meant to sway people into the longer terms thinking they're reallying saving 10 or 15%, when it's really just a few bucks. (Again, perceived value - the old joke being "Everything 20% Off" signs being compensated with prices rising 25%, thus canceling each other out and the consumer paying the exact same price).
Admin
The code decodes into this: 8011GL1000XAM
Where X is a separator between house number and suffix.
Admin
IPPA Computer: Welcome to the Identity Processsing Program of Uhmerica! Please insert your forearm into the forearm receptacle! [Joe inserts his arm] IPPA Computer: Thank you! Please speak your name as it appears on your current federal identity card, document G24L8! Pvt. Joe Bowers: I'm not sure if... IPPA Computer: You have entered the name "Not Sure." Is this correct, Not Sure? Pvt. Joe Bowers: No, it's not correct... IPPA Computer: Thank you! "Not" is correct. Is "Sure" correct? Pvt. Joe Bowers: No, it's not, my name is Joe... IPPA Computer: You have already confirmed your first name is "Not." Please confirm your last name, "Sure." Pvt. Joe Bowers: My last name is not "Sure!" IPPA Computer: Thank you, Not Sure! Pvt. Joe Bowers: No, what I mean is my name is Joe... IPPA Computer: Confirmation is complete. Please wait while I tattoo your new identity on your arm!
Admin
"the longer the coverage the better the value"
It didn't say who the better value was for, though...
Admin
I once stumbled upon a similar WTF with address formatting:
If you export, let's say, 1.000 Adresses from your enterprisey customer database to a text file & import it in Excel as data source for a Word letter, you'll find that Excel guesses the right cell format. "10 A", although common as a house number, will be formatted as 10:00 AM, because it's surely a time description (yuck!). The Excel import does some other weird things to your carefully formatted data, so keep an eye on it...
So T-Mobile.nl seems to use Excel to process their letters.
Admin
My original thought was that the sears one was not a WTF - but given the amount of confusion it has caused I have to take that back.
Admin
Actually, for something like a dishwasher, it is many times more likely to break down in the first year than in the second. The first year is 'high risk', then the 2nd to 6th year or so it's pretty safe from breaking down. Then it will start getting riskier again.
It's known as a 'bathtub curve' (look it up on t'internet)
This is why getting a warranty longer than 1 year is generally a waste of money, and why many countries have a compulsory warranty for the first year, as that's when the vast majority of manufacturing defects will show up.
I agree with everything else though - and most retailers charge their warranties in line with the bathtub curve, so the first year is expensive, the second year is cheaper than the first year, and the third year is still cheaper. If you could get a 10 year warranty (which is doubtful since retailers are in it to get as much from you as they can, not to give it back) then the price per year would have gone up again.
Admin
The T-Mobile one isn't necessarily a WTF.
Perhaps Bart is a homeless guy, who wanders the streets, and comes across this particular street every day at around 10:00 am?
Or perhaps he's working as a mailman or street sweeper. Most of my coworkers have packages and mail delivered at work, since that's where they are during the day. He might just have an outside job with a tight schedule?
Admin
Sears does, or rather, they let you extend the service contract you bought when you bought the appliance.